Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.176160 0.201331 0.229441 0.263272 0.303029 0.348444 0.404500
2025-12-07 0.134426 0.166951 0.206975 0.260333 0.330327 0.420023 0.545294
2025-12-14 0.111639 0.147183 0.194124 0.261665 0.358041 0.493227 0.701934
2025-12-21 0.095966 0.132550 0.183624 0.261753 0.381185 0.561865 0.865867
2025-12-28 0.086206 0.123909 0.179132 0.268269 0.413156 0.647930 1.075837
2026-01-04 0.077939 0.115917 0.173892 0.271970 0.440325 0.730588 1.300127
2026-01-11 0.071308 0.109328 0.169560 0.275891 0.467796 0.818398 1.556402
2026-01-18 0.066421 0.104751 0.167611 0.283139 0.501886 0.924648 1.878588
2026-01-25 0.061186 0.098894 0.162639 0.284040 0.523988 1.012006 2.186236
2026-02-01 0.056465 0.093324 0.157381 0.283442 0.542759 1.096174 2.512348
2026-02-08 0.051989 0.087667 0.151238 0.280134 0.555207 1.169123 2.834314
2026-02-15 0.048011 0.082470 0.145305 0.276310 0.565728 1.239806 3.174138
2026-02-22 0.045717 0.080182 0.144691 0.283527 0.602701 1.383923 3.780249
2026-03-01 0.042309 0.075482 0.138922 0.279103 0.612295 1.462863 4.226119
2026-03-08 0.039864 0.072377 0.135951 0.280322 0.635671 1.584135 4.861883
2026-03-15 0.037551 0.069299 0.132681 0.280376 0.656179 1.703139 5.546514
2026-03-22 0.036094 0.067781 0.132460 0.287426 0.696225 1.890052 6.578891
2026-03-29 0.034492 0.065811 0.131054 0.291434 0.728991 2.064828 7.662742
2026-04-05 0.033039 0.064013 0.129820 0.295682 0.763400 2.255733 8.932910
2026-04-12 0.031964 0.062910 0.130002 0.303538 0.810079 2.503401 10.632983
2026-04-19 0.030480 0.060795 0.127666 0.304515 0.836381 2.688409 12.155995
2026-04-26 0.029004 0.058575 0.124863 0.303866 0.857630 2.862532 13.755517
2026-05-03 0.027460 0.056078 0.121167 0.300281 0.868833 3.002389 15.273350